• Contact Us
    • Send Feedback
    • Login
    View Item 
    •   Home
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • View Item
    •   Home
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • View Item
    JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

    Browse

    Whole Repository
    CollectionsIssue DateRegionCountryHubAffiliationAuthorsTitlesSubject
    This Sub-collection
    Issue DateRegionCountryHubAffiliationAuthorsTitlesSubject

    My Account

    Login

    Welcome to the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture Research Repository

    What would you like to view today?

    Structural approaches to modeling the impact of climate change and adaptation technologies on crop yields and food security

    Thumbnail
    View/Open
    U16ArtIslamStructuralInthomNodev.pdf (758.3Kb)
    Date
    2016
    Author
    Islam, S.
    Cenacchi, N.
    Sulser, T.B.
    Gbegbelegbe, Sika
    Hareau, G.
    Kleinwechter, U.
    Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
    Nedumaran, S.
    Robertson, R.
    Robinson, S.
    Wiebe, K.
    Type
    Journal Article
    Target Audience
    Scientists
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract/Description
    Achieving and maintaining global food security is challenged by changes in population, income, and climate, among other drivers. Assessing these threats and weighing possible solutions requires a robust multidisciplinary approach. One such approach integrates biophysical modeling with economic modeling to explore the combined effects of climate stresses and future socioeconomic trends, thus providing a more accurate picture of how agriculture and the food system may be affected in the coming decades. We review and analyze the literature on this structural approach and present a case study that follows this methodology, explicitly modeling drought and heat tolerant crop varieties. We show that yield gains from adoption of these varieties differ by technology and region, but are generally comparable in scale to (and thus able to offset) adverse effects of climate change. However, yield increases over the projection period are dominated by the effects of growth in population, income, and general productivity, highlighting the importance of joint assessment of biophysical and socioeconomic drivers to better understand climate impacts and responses.
    https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2016.08.003
    Multi standard citation
    Permanent link to this item
    https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12478/1346
    Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
    https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2016.08.003
    IITA Subjects
    Climate Change; Food Security
    Agrovoc Terms
    Yields; Climate Change; Adaptation; Maize; Sorghum; Biophysical Modeling; Food Security; Economic Modeling; Structural Approach; Agricultural Productivity
    Regions
    Africa; Asia; East Africa; South Asia; West Africa
    Countries
    China; India; Mali; Tanzania
    Journals
    Global Food Security
    Collections
    • Journal and Journal Articles4835
    copyright © 2019  IITASpace. All rights reserved.
    IITA | Open Access Repository