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dc.contributor.authorTonnang, H.E.
dc.contributor.authorMakumbi, Dan
dc.contributor.authorCraufurd, Peter Q.
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-04T11:33:53Z
dc.date.available2019-12-04T11:33:53Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.identifier.citationTonnang, H.E., Makumbi, D. & Craufurd, P. (2018). Methodological approach for predicting and mapping the phenological adaptation of tropical maize (Zea mays L.) using multi-environment trials. Plant Methods, 14(1), 108-119.
dc.identifier.issn1746-4811
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12478/5836
dc.descriptionOpen Access Journal; Published online: 7 Dec 2018
dc.description.abstractBackground The phenological development of the maize crop from emergence through flowering to maturity, usually expressed as a rate (i.e. 1/duration), is largely controlled by temperature in the tropics. Maize plant phenological responses vary between varieties and quantifying these responses can help in predicting the timing and duration of critical periods for crop growth that affect the quality and quantity of seed. We used routine multi-environment trials data of diverse tropical maize varieties to: (1) fit 82 temperature dependent phenology models and select the best model for an individual variety, (2) develop a spatial framework that uses the phenology model to predict at landscape level the length of the vegetative and reproductive phases of diverse varieties of maize in different agro-ecologies. Multi-environment trial data of 22 maize varieties from 16 trials in Kenya, Ethiopia, and Sudan was analyzed and the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm combined with statistical criteria was applied to determine the best temperature-dependent model. Results The Briere model, which is not often used in plant phenology, provided the best fit, with observed and predicted days to flowering showing good agreement. Linking the model with temperature and scaling out through mapping gave the duration from emergence to maturity of different maize varieties in areas where maize could potentially be grown. Conclusion The methodology and framework used in the study provides an opportunity to develop tools that enhance farmers’ ability to predict stages of maize development for efficient crop management decisions and assessment of climate change impacts. This methodology could contribute to increase maize production if used to identify varieties with desired maturity for a specific agro-ecology in in the targeted regions.
dc.description.sponsorshipBill & Melinda Gates Foundation
dc.format.extent108-119
dc.language.isoen
dc.rightsCC-BY-4.0
dc.subjectMaize
dc.subjectEnvironmental Factors
dc.subjectMaturity
dc.subjectGrowth Period
dc.subjectLandscape
dc.subjectMethodological
dc.titleMethodological approach for predicting and mapping the phenological adaptation of tropical maize (Zea mays L.) using multi‑environment trials
dc.typeJournal Article
dc.description.versionPeer Review
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute of Tropical Agriculture
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Center
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionEast Africa
cg.coverage.countryEthiopia
cg.coverage.countryKenya
cg.coverage.countrySudan
cg.isijournalISI Journal
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centre
cg.iitasubjectMaize
cg.iitasubjectMeteorology And Climatology
cg.iitasubjectResearch Method
cg.iitasubjectSocioeconomy
cg.journalPlant Methods
cg.howpublishedFormally Published
cg.accessibilitystatusOpen Access
local.dspaceid105364
cg.targetaudienceScientists
cg.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13007-018-0375-7


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