• Contact Us
    • Send Feedback
    • Login
    View Item 
    •   Home
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • View Item
    •   Home
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • Journal and Journal Articles
    • View Item
    JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

    Browse

    Whole Repository
    CollectionsIssue DateRegionCountryHubAffiliationAuthorsTitlesSubject
    This Sub-collection
    Issue DateRegionCountryHubAffiliationAuthorsTitlesSubject

    My Account

    Login

    Welcome to the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture Research Repository

    What would you like to view today?

    Lessons from integrated seasonal forecast-crop modelling in Africa: a systematic review

    Thumbnail
    View/Open
    Journal Article (1.107Mb)
    Date
    2022-11-07
    Author
    Mkuhlani, S.
    Zinyengere, N.
    Kumi, N.
    Crespo, O.
    Type
    Journal Article
    Review Status
    Peer Review
    Target Audience
    Scientists
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Abstract/Description
    Seasonal forecasts coupled with crop models can potentially enhance decision-making in smallholder farming in Africa. The study sought to inform future research through identifying and critiquing crop and climate models, and techniques for integrating seasonal forecast information and crop models. Peer-reviewed articles related to crop modelling and seasonal forecasting were sourced from Google Scholar, Web of Science, AGRIS, and JSTOR. Nineteen articles were selected from a search outcome of 530. About 74% of the studies used mechanistic models, which are favored for climate risk management research as they account for crop management practices. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Hamburg, are the predominant global climate models (GCMs) used across Africa. A range of approaches have been assessed to improve the effectiveness of the connection between seasonal forecast information and mechanistic crop models, which include GCMs, analogue, stochastic disaggregation, and statistical prediction through converting seasonal weather summaries into the daily weather. GCM outputs are produced in a format compatible with mechanistic crop models. Such outputs are critical for researchers to have information on the merits and demerits of tools and approaches on integrating seasonal forecast and crop models. There is however need to widen such research to other regions in Africa, crop, farming systems, and policy.
    https://doi.org/10.1515/biol-2022-0507
    Multi standard citation
    Permanent link to this item
    https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12478/8117
    Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
    https://doi.org/10.1515/biol-2022-0507
    IITA Subjects
    Agronomy; Climate Change; Farming Systems; Meteorology and Climatology; Smallholder Farmers
    Agrovoc Terms
    Forecasting; Crop Modelling; Smallholders; Climate Change; Farm Management
    Regions
    Africa; East Africa
    Hubs
    Eastern Africa Hub
    Journals
    Open Life Sciences
    Collections
    • Journal and Journal Articles5075
    copyright © 2019  IITASpace. All rights reserved.
    IITA | Open Access Repository