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Ex‐ante evaluation of promising soybean innovations for sub‐Saharan Africa

dc.contributor.authorGbegbelegbe, S.
dc.contributor.authorAlene, A.
dc.contributor.authorKamara, A.
dc.contributor.authorWiebe, K.
dc.contributor.authorManyong, Victor M.
dc.contributor.authorAbdoulaye, T.
dc.contributor.authorMkandawire, P.
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-04T11:33:55Z
dc.date.available2019-12-04T11:33:55Z
dc.date.issued2019-05-16
dc.identifier.citationGbegbelegbe, S., Alene, A., Kamara, A., Wiebe, K., Manyong, V., Abdoulaye, T. & Mkandawire, P. (2019). Ex‐ante evaluation of promising soybean innovations for sub‐Saharan Africa. Food and Energy Security, 1-16.
dc.identifier.issn2048-3694
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12478/5846
dc.descriptionOpen Access Journal
dc.description.abstractThis study undertakes an ex‐ante evaluation of the effects of alternative technology and policy options on soybean supply and demand in sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) to 2050. Current soybean consumption in SSA is dominated by cooking oil followed by soybean cake used as animal feed. Due to weak processing sectors and low soybean yields, the region is currently importing about 70% of its consumption requirements. Based on the results from a geospatial bio‐economic modeling framework, soybean consumption in SSA is projected to more than double by 2050 compared to 2010 due in part to a rising population and rising incomes. On the other hand, supply from domestic production is projected to increase by 80% over the same period. Hence, by 2050, net imports into SSA would be nearly 4 times higher than supply from domestic production. Under a future drier climate, some of the production gains achieved through soybean research and extension would be lost and this would further worsen the soybean demand gap in SSA relative to the baseline. This study shows that relying on conventional breeding alone to increase soybean yields in SSA would not be enough to substantially reduce the future demand gap. A combination of promising innovations affecting the soybean value chain across SSA would be needed to close the soybean demand gap in SSA by 2050 under a drier future climate.
dc.description.sponsorshipBill & Melinda Gates Foundation
dc.format.extent1-16
dc.language.isoen
dc.rightsCC-BY-4.0
dc.subjectClimate Change
dc.subjectSoybeans
dc.subjectProduction
dc.subjectAfrica South Of Sahara
dc.titleEx‐ante evaluation of promising soybean innovations for sub‐Saharan Africa
dc.typeJournal Article
dc.description.versionPeer Review
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Health
cg.contributor.crpMaize
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions and Markets
cg.contributor.crpRoots, Tubers and Bananas
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute of Tropical Agriculture
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Institute
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionCentral Africa
cg.coverage.regionEast Africa
cg.coverage.regionSouthern Africa
cg.coverage.regionWest Africa
cg.coverage.countryBenin
cg.coverage.countryBurkina Faso
cg.coverage.countryCameroon
cg.coverage.countryEthiopia
cg.coverage.countryMalawi
cg.coverage.countryNigeria
cg.coverage.countryRwanda
cg.coverage.countryTanzania
cg.coverage.countryZambia
cg.coverage.countryZimbabwe
cg.creator.identifierArega Alene: 0000-0002-2491-4603
cg.creator.identifierAlpha Kamara: 0000-0002-1844-2574
cg.creator.identifierVictor Manyong: 0000-0003-2477-7132
cg.creator.identifierTahirou Abdoulaye: 0000-0002-8072-1363
cg.researchthemePLANT PRODUCTION & HEALTH
cg.researchthemeSOCIAL SCIENCE & AGRICUSINESS
cg.isijournalISI Journal
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centre
cg.iitasubjectAgribusiness
cg.iitasubjectGrain Legumes
cg.iitasubjectImpact Assessment
cg.iitasubjectPlant Health
cg.iitasubjectPlant Production
cg.iitasubjectSoybean
cg.journalFood and Energy Security
cg.howpublishedFormally Published
cg.accessibilitystatusOpen Access
local.dspaceid105483
cg.targetaudienceScientists
cg.identifier.doihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1002/fes3.172


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